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Expert Sukhoverkhov: Trump showing ‘signs of fatigue’ with Ukraine peace talks, readiness to increase leverage through sanctions, weapons, but has not yet returned to Biden-era pressure.
Pukhov: Iran lacks technological, industrial basis to build up the influence it seeks; it may have to give up its nuclear program if it wants to align its goals with its actual capabilities.
Yi Xin: The flaw of AUKUS lies first in its enormous economic cost and insufficient military benefits.
AS WE enter the new year, it is worth taking a glance in the rearview mirror. The events and processes of the past year do not simply come to a halt when its calendar’s final page is torn off. Reflecting on the core developments of recent months is meaningful and valuable in attempting to understand the prospects, limitations, and opportunities of the coming period.
Russian-American relations are in a turbulent period marked by unpredictable turns. After three years of brinkmanship in hybrid warfare mode, the first signals have emerged that suggest that our countries may be able to at least partially overcome the severe crisis that began more than a decade ago and peaked under the Joe Biden administration
Pukhov: Iran lacks technological, industrial basis to build up the influence it seeks; it may have to give up its nuclear program if it wants to align its goals with its actual capabilities.
Shevchuk: Motivation for peace has faded in Russia, because the West has not offered it any tangible benefits for ending hostilities.
Lukyanov: Russia to insist on ‘harsh’ measure of Ukrainian withdrawal from four provinces; Trump views Ukraine as a burden, Russia as part of profitable, streamlined new foreign policy.
Zhelenin: Trump’s threats to stop aid to Kiev were intended to force Zelensky to surrender to Russia, but instead, his policies are leading to a catastrophe that will only prolong war.
Vinokurov: For talks to work, US, Russia must normalize dialogue, but US wants truce first, while Russia wants to restore trust, formalize relations before proceeding with a ceasefire.